With just 72 hours remaining until the much-anticipated Local Government elections in Kwara State, Kwara Express has conducted an in-depth investigative report and predictive analysis. Scheduled for the 21st of September 2024, this election is poised to be one of the most significant in the state’s history, largely influenced by the recent Supreme Court judgment granting local government autonomy. Citizens across Kwara are excited about the prospect of electing autonomous council officers, and the anticipation is palpable.
Our research analysts reached out to each of the 16 Local Government Areas (LGAs) across Kwara State, engaging over 50 individuals in each LGA, totaling 800 respondents. The predictive analysis indicates strong support for the All Progressives Congress (APC) across most regions, but with varying degrees of competition from the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and other political parties.
Here’s a breakdown of the likely voter outcomes by the Senatorial District:
Kwara North: The APC Stronghold
Edu LGA: 70% APC, 24.5% PDP, 5.5% others.
Kaiama: 75% APC, 20% PDP, 5% others.
Baruteen: A historical APC stronghold with 85% APC, 10% PDP, 5% others.
Patigi: 75.5% APC, 20% PDP, 0.5% others.
Moro LGA: A battleground with 55% APC, 40% PDP, 5% others.
Kwara Central: A Close Battle
Ilorin East: 60% APC, 30% PDP, 10% others.
Ilorin South: 65% APC, 30% PDP, 5% others. Notably, Balogun Fulani Ward 1 is likely to lean toward the PDP.
Asa LGA: Strongly in favor of APC with 80% APC, 15% PDP, 5% others.
Ilorin West: 60% APC, 35% PDP, 5% others. However, Ajikobi Ward and Oloje Ward are expected to be PDP-dominant.
Kwara South: A Mixed Outlook
Ifelodun: 70% APC, 25% PDP, 5% others.
Oyun and Ekiti: Similar trends as Ifelodun.
Irepodun: 65% APC, 25% PDP, 10% others.
Oke Ero and Isin: Both predicted to see 70% APC, 20% PDP, and 10% others.
Offa LGA: Anticipated to be a fierce contest with 55% APC, 40% PDP, and 5% others.
While these predictions provide a glimpse into the likely voting outcomes, they are based on the opinions of about 800 respondents and may not fully represent the final election results. Kwara Express encourages voters to exercise their civic rights, cast their votes responsibly, and remain law-abiding citizens throughout the election process. This predictive analysis serves to highlight possible trends ahead of the elections but is not a definitive forecast.
As Kwara gears up for this historic election, we pray for a peaceful and orderly process.
